Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 4-4
UB Conquense vs Yeclano Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UBC
2 - 0
LEV
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
UBC
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UBC
2 - 1
TER
53%
25%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CDE
0 - 0
UBC
67%
21%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UBC
1 - 1
RCD
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Yeclano Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
YEC
2 - 1
CDA
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 1
YEC
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
YEC
3 - 1
MIN
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 2
YEC
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
YEC
5 - 0
PUL
60%
21%
18%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |