UB Conquense vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19%
7.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SSR
0 - 2
UBC
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PON
1 - 0
UBC
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
UBC
1 - 1
BUR
44%
30%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MAJ
1 - 2
UBC
23%
27%
49%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
UBC
2 - 3
ATM
12%
24%
64%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
TOM
0 - 0
PON
20%
26%
54%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
BUR
2 - 0
TOM
67%
24%
9%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
TOM
0 - 0
MAJ
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CFP
0 - 1
TOM
72%
19%
10%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
TOM
2 - 0
RMC
17%
25%
58%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | +2 |