Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-3
UB Conquense vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
UBC
2 - 1
MAD
70%
20%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 5
UBC
47%
27%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
UBC
0 - 0
QRE
62%
23%
15%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
MAN
1 - 0
UBC
31%
29%
40%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
UBC
1 - 0
CIU
59%
24%
17%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
TOM
0 - 3
FCB
33%
29%
38%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
GIR
3 - 1
TOM
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
TOM
1 - 1
GAN
38%
29%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
OLI
1 - 2
TOM
40%
32%
28%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
TOM
1 - 0
UES
51%
28%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |