Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 1-3
UB Conquense vs CD Teruel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ATT
1 - 1
UBC
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UBC
4 - 1
YUN
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CIU
3 - 0
UBC
23%
23%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UBC
6 - 0
UDC
77%
16%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
UBC
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Teruel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SDB
0 - 0
TER
25%
26%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
UFC
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 2
TER
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TER
2 - 0
EJE
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 0
TER
21%
24%
56%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |