UB Conquense vs San Jose Obrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AZU
1 - 2
UBC
30%
25%
44%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UBC
2 - 1
CIU
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
QRE
1 - 0
UBC
23%
26%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UBC
2 - 0
MUN
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 1
UBC
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
San Jose Obrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ADS
2 - 1
TOL
34%
26%
40%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LGI
1 - 2
ADS
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ADS
1 - 0
VIL
25%
25%
50%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 1
ADS
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ADS
1 - 1
MOR
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |