UB Conquense vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
UBC
2 - 1
CDB
44%
28%
28%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ROD
1 - 2
UBC
33%
29%
38%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
UBC
3 - 1
ALC
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
UBC
3 - 0
AVI
52%
25%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
COL
3 - 2
UBC
35%
30%
35%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
CFC
0 - 0
RMC
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
RMC
1 - 2
VCF
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
CAS
0 - 1
RMC
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
RMC
1 - 1
FIG
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
RMC
0 - 3
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |