UB Conquense vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.6%
70.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
20%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
17.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SSR
2 - 2
UBC
68%
21%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UBC
1 - 4
CPC
23%
28%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
UBC
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UBC
0 - 2
GUA
24%
27%
48%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
UBC
46%
28%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RSO
2 - 0
BET
46%
27%
28%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
RSO
2 - 0
AJA
45%
25%
30%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
RSO
48%
27%
26%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
JOV
0 - 5
RSO
9%
23%
69%
|
92 | 38 | 54 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 0
FCB
13%
19%
69%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |