UB Conquense vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
UBC
0 - 1
AMU
42%
29%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
UBC
0 - 1
LOG
35%
29%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
BIN
1 - 3
UBC
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CLH
1 - 1
UBC
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2003 |
UBC
3 - 2
RUN
32%
29%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
GIM
34%
29%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
AMU
1 - 3
PEÑ
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RAC
36%
27%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 1
PEÑ
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 1
PEÑ
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |