UB Conquense vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
UBC
38%
26%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
UBC
0 - 0
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
UBC
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
UBC
0 - 0
TOR
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
UBC
1 - 1
PED
70%
19%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ILL
1 - 0
TAR
34%
24%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 1
ILL
23%
24%
52%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ILL
2 - 1
PED
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CDT
3 - 0
ILL
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
ILL
47%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |