UB Conquense vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 2
UBC
60%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UBC
1 - 0
TOL
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
AZU
3 - 2
UBC
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
CDT
2 - 0
UBC
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
UBC
0 - 0
MAD
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
0 - 3
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
ILL
57%
23%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
0 - 1
QRE
31%
27%
42%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 1
PED
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
5 - 2
ILL
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |