UB Conquense vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
ALA
0 - 2
UBC
30%
28%
42%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
UBC
2 - 1
AUR
36%
29%
35%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
GIM
2 - 0
UBC
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
UBC
0 - 0
ZAR
37%
28%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
IZA
1 - 0
UBC
24%
29%
47%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
GER
2 - 0
BEA
37%
30%
32%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
BUR
4 - 1
GER
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
GER
1 - 0
BIN
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
CLH
3 - 2
GER
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GER
1 - 1
AMU
37%
29%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |