UB Conquense vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 2
UBC
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
UBC
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UBC
3 - 3
RSO
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
UBC
1 - 0
CDM
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
UBC
1 - 0
SES
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 2
ATB
55%
23%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDT
2 - 1
LPA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RVB
1 - 1
CDT
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
ATB
0 - 1
CDT
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
RMC
4 - 1
CDT
80%
14%
7%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |