UB Conquense vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
UBC
27%
29%
44%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
UBC
0 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ECI
2 - 0
UBC
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
UBC
1 - 0
AGD
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 3
UBC
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
DBN
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
ARE
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
JER
28%
29%
43%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
EXT
3 - 0
ARE
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
SEV
31%
30%
39%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |