Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
UB Conquense vs Anguiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
ANG
2 - 2
UBC
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VRU
4 - 0
UBC
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UBC
1 - 2
ALM
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
UBC
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UBC
2 - 1
ATT
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Anguiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
ANG
2 - 2
UBC
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ANG
7 - 0
ALF
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 3
ANG
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
2 - 0
CDF
90%
8%
3%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
4 - 1
ARN
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |