UB Conquense vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
UBC
2 - 1
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GIM
0 - 0
UBC
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
UBC
1 - 1
RMC
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LEG
1 - 4
UBC
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
UBC
3 - 0
PUE
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CER
2 - 0
ALC
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDT
38%
28%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SPB
3 - 0
ALC
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 0
CPC
38%
28%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 2
ALC
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |