UAI Urquiza vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
JJU
0 - 2
UAI
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
UAI
2 - 1
SAC
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
MID
3 - 0
UAI
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
UAI
1 - 0
CAM
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 1
UAI
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ARM
2 - 0
ITA
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 3
BER
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
DOC
0 - 0
ITA
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |