UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
26%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
UAI
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
UAI
1 - 0
TAL
45%
29%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
UAI
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
UAI
1 - 1
ACA
46%
30%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
COM
4 - 1
UAI
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
VSC
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
EXC
37%
29%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 2
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 1
EXC
47%
28%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |