UAI Urquiza vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
UAI
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UAI
2 - 2
EST
21%
27%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
FEN
5 - 1
UAI
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PLA
2 - 0
UAI
50%
26%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
UAI
0 - 0
VSC
41%
28%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
ARM
47%
30%
23%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RIE
0 - 0
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
BAR
35%
31%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 2
MOR
34%
31%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUA
41%
30%
29%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |