UA Zacatecas vs Tritones Vallarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
7º
5º
7
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 24 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 21 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 18 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 17 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 14 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
4.5% | 13.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
85.5% | 80.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
3 - 0
ZAC
14%
20%
65%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
RAF
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 0
ZAC
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 1
MIN
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
TRI
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
DUR
31%
29%
41%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
DUR
6 - 0
TRI
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
DUR
31%
29%
40%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |