UA Zacatecas vs Tritones Vallarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
7º
6º
24
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
ZAC
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 0
MFC
82%
12%
5%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 0
ZAC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ZAC
3 - 1
TAM
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZAC
5 - 2
CAF
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
0 - 2
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
TRI
31%
26%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 0
MFC
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 3
TRI
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |