UA Zacatecas vs Real Apodaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+561%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
7º
5º
3
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 24 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 21 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 18 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 17 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 14 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
4.5% | 1% |
|
Play-offs
|
85.5% | 51.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 0
ZAC
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
LCU
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Apodaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 6
RAF
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 3
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
COR
0 - 2
RAF
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 1
GAV
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 0
CFO
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |