UA Zacatecas vs Mexicali FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
11º
11º
29
6º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
58 | 75 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 49 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
74.5% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CFO
3 - 1
ZAC
10%
19%
71%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 1
MIN
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAY
1 - 2
ZAC
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ZAC
2 - 0
LEO
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 1
ZAC
9%
17%
74%
|
56 | 11 | 45 | -1 |
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MIN
5 - 0
MFC
72%
15%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 3
LEO
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
MFC
74%
16%
9%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
COL
14%
17%
69%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
MFC
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |