UA Zacatecas vs Leones Negros II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
9º
2º
19
1º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ADG
3 - 1
ZAC
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 0
TRI
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
3 - 0
ZAC
14%
20%
65%
|
52 | 14 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
RAF
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 0
ZAC
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 0
MIN
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
LEO
34%
22%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 0
DUR
15%
23%
62%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ADG
2 - 0
LEO
10%
15%
74%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 1
CSI
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |