UA Maracaibo vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Maracaibo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
MIN
2 - 1
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
TRU
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ARA
0 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 0
TAC
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CCR
2 - 2
PAR
11%
19%
71%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 1
CIA
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 1
COB
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
COT
3 - 2
PAR
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2007 |
COB
0 - 2
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |