UA Maracaibo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Maracaibo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ARA
2 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
PUM
0 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
TAC
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCI
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CER
1 - 2
NAC
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
SCI
3 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
BVS
1 - 2
NAC
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
PUM
58%
22%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |