Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-4
UA Maracaibo vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Maracaibo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
EST
2 - 1
MAR
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 3
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
MON
0 - 2
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2008 |
AME
2 - 0
SFE
61%
22%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
HUI
2 - 1
AME
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
AME
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2008 |
AME
1 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
AME
1 - 1
EQU
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |