UA Horta vs At. Alpicat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Horta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TPE
1 - 2
UAH
55%
21%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UAH
0 - 3
CEA
56%
20%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 0
UAH
20%
23%
57%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UAH
0 - 3
SAB
45%
23%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 1
UAH
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
At. Alpicat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALP
1 - 2
TAR
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
ALP
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
PIR
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
1 - 1
IGU
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
2 - 2
SAN
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |