U. Micaelense vs Alcochetense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
73.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcochetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 4
LEX
5%
11%
84%
|
19 | 63 | 44 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 5
ALC
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ATA
2 - 0
ALC
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
LOU
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 0
ALC
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |