UD Tomares vs Atlético Onubense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
16º
8º
22
12º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 53 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 36 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 35 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 28 |
17º
|
36% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Tomares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LAP
0 - 2
UDT
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
UDT
48%
25%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
UDT
3 - 2
CRD
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
UDT
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
UDT
4 - 0
CAR
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Onubense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
REC
2 - 5
COR
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
CRD
1 - 3
REC
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
REC
5 - 0
ESP
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +3 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
REC
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
REC
0 - 0
POZ
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |