Tyumen vs Orenburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.6%
9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.2%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
2º
1º
23
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tyumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ZEN
1 - 1
TYU
6%
14%
80%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TYU
2 - 2
FCN
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 2
TYU
26%
24%
51%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 3
TYU
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TYU
4 - 0
PER
18%
26%
57%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 1
URA
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NOS
1 - 1
ORE
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 3
FCC
11%
21%
68%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 5
IRT
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ORE
3 - 0
DIN
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |