Tvååker vs Vänersborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
16º
7º
31
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tvååker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 1
TVA
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TVA
2 - 1
LBK
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ESK
1 - 0
TVA
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TVA
0 - 2
FAL
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TVA
3 - 0
AIF
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vänersborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 1
AFC
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 3
VAN
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
4 - 2
VAN
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 0
LJU
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 0
VAN
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |