Herkenrath vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
VIK
6 - 1
HER
90%
7%
3%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
BOR
11%
19%
70%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
AAA
5 - 1
HER
74%
16%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
BOR
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
STR
0 - 3
HER
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 1
DIE
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
KMA
0 - 1
WAT
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
WAT
0 - 2
WUP
49%
23%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ROD
1 - 1
WAT
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WAT
4 - 2
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |