Herkenrath vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
VFL
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BER
0 - 3
HER
24%
21%
56%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 3
HER
28%
21%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
HER
0 - 0
PES
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
EUR
3 - 2
HER
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
BSC
2 - 3
MER
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
PES
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
EUR
1 - 2
MER
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MER
1 - 3
H05
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BFR
3 - 2
MER
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |