Herkenrath vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
36%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
AAA
1 - 1
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
SVB
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BWF
0 - 1
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
EIL
1 - 2
HER
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
H05
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
HUR
3 - 1
H05
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
VIA
4 - 3
HUR
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 1
VFL
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
WES
2 - 3
HUR
26%
21%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HUR
3 - 2
ALT
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |