Herkenrath vs Hilal Maroc Bergheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
HER
0 - 2
WEG
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BWF
2 - 3
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
BER
2 - 2
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 3
HER
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
GEW
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
HIL
3 - 4
BER
28%
21%
50%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
WEG
1 - 2
HIL
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
HIL
4 - 2
H05
50%
21%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BWF
5 - 4
HIL
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
HIL
0 - 0
VIA
42%
22%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |