Herkenrath vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIA
2 - 2
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
VFL
66%
19%
16%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WES
2 - 4
HER
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
HER
0 - 4
ALT
28%
22%
51%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BFR
0 - 0
HER
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EIL
1 - 1
H05
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
H05
5 - 2
VIA
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VFL
0 - 2
H05
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
5 - 0
H05
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
H05
1 - 1
BFR
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |