Herkenrath vs Euskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
58.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
HUR
0 - 1
HER
65%
19%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
AAA
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SVB
0 - 2
HER
21%
21%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
BWF
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
EIL
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Euskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EUR
0 - 0
H05
62%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIA
4 - 0
EUR
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
EUR
1 - 3
VFL
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BFR
1 - 1
EUR
19%
21%
61%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
WES
2 - 5
EUR
13%
16%
71%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |