Herkenrath vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
WES
4 - 4
HER
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
HER
3 - 2
SIE
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
HER
6 - 1
MER
74%
15%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
VFL
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BER
0 - 3
HER
24%
21%
56%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BWF
3 - 1
ALT
69%
16%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
BWF
2 - 0
EUR
55%
20%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PES
1 - 2
BWF
21%
21%
59%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
H05
2 - 2
BWF
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BFR
0 - 1
BWF
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |