Herkenrath vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
69.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
AAA
5 - 1
HER
74%
16%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
BOR
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
STR
0 - 3
HER
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
VER
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LIP
2 - 1
HER
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
3 - 0
DIE
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KMA
0 - 2
BOR
11%
20%
70%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 1
WUP
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ROD
3 - 4
BOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 0
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |