Herkenrath vs Alfter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BFR
0 - 0
HER
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
BER
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GEW
1 - 0
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
BSC
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
H05
1 - 2
HER
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
5 - 0
H05
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIA
4 - 4
ALT
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 3
VFL
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
WES
1 - 2
ALT
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 0
EIL
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |