Eiche Horn vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
8º
6º
17
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eiche Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAB
1 - 1
EHB
44%
21%
36%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EHB
2 - 3
OSC
31%
20%
49%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 2
EHB
37%
22%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EHB
3 - 3
BTN
45%
20%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAB
0 - 3
EHB
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WER
4 - 0
TRB
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
WER
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
WER
2 - 0
WOL
56%
19%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BLU
1 - 2
WER
63%
17%
19%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WER
2 - 2
UNI
34%
21%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |