Eiche Horn vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.3%
63.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.7%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
5%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
8º
6º
16
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eiche Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
EHB
0 - 2
BRE
10%
13%
77%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WUL
0 - 4
EHB
21%
20%
60%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 3
EHB
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
OTB
0 - 1
EHB
26%
20%
54%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
FCH
2 - 2
EHB
28%
21%
52%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 2
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
OSC
4 - 3
SGA
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SGA
5 - 3
GEE
63%
17%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SGA
4 - 2
VAT
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
SGA
16%
17%
68%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |