Eiche Horn vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
8º
6º
26
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eiche Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
EHB
64%
18%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
EHB
3 - 1
WER
44%
20%
36%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAB
1 - 1
EHB
44%
21%
36%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EHB
2 - 3
OSC
31%
20%
49%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 2
EHB
37%
22%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BLU
4 - 0
TRB
65%
17%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
5 - 1
BLU
52%
20%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BLU
1 - 2
WOL
74%
14%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 1
BLU
58%
19%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 4
BLU
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |