Tuttocuoio vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuttocuoio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PIA
1 - 0
TUT
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TUT
0 - 1
IMO
27%
27%
46%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 1
TUT
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
TUT
0 - 1
VFC
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
RIM
1 - 1
TUT
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 0
LEN
25%
25%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VFC
0 - 0
MEZ
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MEZ
0 - 1
SAM
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
USD
0 - 0
MEZ
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 1
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |