TuSpo Surheide vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
55%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
16º
15º
62
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuSpo Surheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
OBE
3 - 1
TSS
74%
15%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BTN
3 - 1
TSS
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TSS
2 - 3
UNI
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TSS
2 - 3
LEH
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TSS
1 - 1
BRI
16%
17%
67%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SGA
0 - 1
BRI
34%
21%
45%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SGA
0 - 0
SVH
54%
20%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BLU
1 - 3
SGA
15%
17%
68%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SGA
1 - 0
SCH
52%
20%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 2
SGA
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +2 |