TuSpo Surheide vs Schwachhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
54.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
16º
15º
36
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuSpo Surheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 0
TSS
26%
22%
53%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TSS
0 - 2
VAT
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
OSC
1 - 0
TSS
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TSS
3 - 0
WER
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TSS
0 - 2
GEE
27%
20%
53%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Schwachhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 3
SVH
30%
21%
49%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 1
SCH
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
WOL
30%
21%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 0
TKA
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VAT
0 - 3
SCH
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |