TuSpo Surheide vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
52.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
16º
15º
45
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuSpo Surheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TSS
0 - 0
SGA
25%
21%
55%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
OBE
3 - 1
TSS
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BTN
3 - 1
TSS
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TSS
2 - 3
UNI
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TSS
2 - 3
LEH
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BLU
3 - 3
GEE
15%
17%
69%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GEE
1 - 6
SVH
53%
20%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -3 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GEE
4 - 2
SCH
55%
19%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 1
GEE
14%
17%
69%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GEE
2 - 4
VAT
68%
16%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |