Tusker FC vs Mathare United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 3
TUS
20%
25%
54%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
TUS
2 - 1
MSU
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 17 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NAI
0 - 1
TUS
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KCB
3 - 2
TUS
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 1
ULI
62%
25%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ULI
0 - 0
MAT
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 1
NAI
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
POS
0 - 2
MAT
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 0
KCB
16%
27%
57%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MAT
2 - 0
TLT
24%
25%
52%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |