Tusker FC vs Chemelil Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ULI
1 - 2
TUS
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
TUS
1 - 0
POS
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 2
TUS
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TUS
1 - 1
SON
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
TUS
1 - 0
SOF
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 1
SOF
40%
31%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 0
AFC
30%
31%
40%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
MUH
1 - 0
CHE
49%
29%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 0
WES
38%
33%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
POS
0 - 1
CHE
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |