CAF Champions Last 16
Global 0-5
Tusker FC vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
RSE
0 - 1
TUS
14%
19%
67%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
TUS
3 - 1
RSE
80%
14%
7%
|
61 | 8 | 53 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ZAM
3 - 1
TUS
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
TUS
0 - 1
ZAM
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
HEL
0 - 1
ALA
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
ENP
0 - 1
ALA
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
ALA
0 - 0
ZAM
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 2
GHA
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
ALA
0 - 0
FAR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |